India May Have To Face Third Wave Of Coronavirus After October: Scientists

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New Delhi, 20th May 2021: A committee of scientists set up by the Department of Science and Technology under the Union Ministry of Science, predicted that India may have to face the third wave after October 2021. Some estimates have been made by scientists. Accordingly, a second wave is expected to end in July. Meanwhile, the committee has also predicted which states likely to affect more in the third wave of the virus.

Using the formula (SUTRA – Susceptible, Undetected, Tested (positive), Removed Approach)), scientists estimate that 1.5 million patients will be found by the end of May and 20,000 by the end of June.

Maharashtra, Uttar Pradesh, Karnataka, Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand, Rajasthan, Kerala, Sikkim, Uttarakhand, Gujarat, Haryana, Delhi and Goa have already reached the peak, said Maninder Agarwal, a professor at IIT Kanpur who is also a member of the committee.

According to the model, the number of patients is likely to increase in Tamil Nadu between May 29 and May 31 and in Puducherry between May 19 and 20.

The states of East and Northeast India have not yet seen the peak. The peak is expected in Assam on May 20-21, Meghalaya on May 30 and Tripura on May 26-27. Meanwhile, in the north, Himachal Pradesh and Punjab are currently witnessing the outbreaks. In Himachal Pradesh on May 24 and Punjab on May 22, there will be a big increase in the number of patients.
According to the model, the third wave of Coronavirus is expected in six to eight months. Its effects can also be felt late. “Vaccination will boost immunity so many people will be safe from the third wave,” Agarwal said.